Balance of Payments Accounts
We are going to see how currency appreciation and depreciation impacts international trades and payments.
Balance of Payments Accounts: is where a country records all its international trading, borrowing, and lending.
The balance of payments has three components of accounts:
- Current Account: has records of exports and imports of goods and services, as well foreign net interest income and net transfers.
The current account balance is the sum of exports minus imports, net interest income, and net transfers. In other words, - Capital Financial Account: has records of foreign investment in the US and US investment abroad, with some statistical discrepancy (that comes from errors and omissions when measuring international capital transactions)
The capital financial account is foreign investment in the US minus the US investment abroad, added by statistical discrepancy. - Official Settlements Account: has records of changes in the US official reserves, which are the holdings of the government’s foreign currency.
If the US official reserves are increasing, then the official settlements account balance is negative.
If the US official reserves are decreasing, then the official settlements account balance is positive.
In a sense, holding more foreign currency is like investing abroad, which is why the account balance is negative.
The sum of the balances in the thee accounts is equal to zero. .
Borrowers, Lenders, Debtors, Creditors
Net Borrower: a country that borrows from the rest of the world.
When there are more foreign investments in US than US investments abroad, it means were borrowing from the rest of the world.
Net Lender: a country that lends to the rest of the world.
When there are more US investments abroad than foreign investments in the US, it means were lending to the rest of the world.
Example: The United States was a net lender throughout 1960-1970s but started becoming a net borrower in the 1980s and beyond (except for 1991). China, Japan are also net lenders.
Debtor Nation: a country that has borrowed more from the rest of the world than lending for a long period of years.
Creditor Nation: a country that has lent (invested) to the rest of the world more than they borrowed for a long period of years.
Example: The US in the 1960-1970s was a creditor nation, but in the 1980s and beyond they became a debtor nation.
Net Exports
Recall that to calculate the current account balance (CAB), we use the following formula
Net interest income and net transfers can be easily calculated, but what about net exports?
What determines net export? There are two things:
- Government Sector Balance: calculated by subtracting net taxes by government expenditures. In other words
If it is positive, then the government sector surplus is lent to other sectors.
If it is negative, then the government sector deficit causes them to borrow from other sectors. - Private Sector Balance: calculated by subtracting savings from investments. In other words,
If it is positive, then the private sector surplus is lent to other sectors.
If it is negative, then the private sector deficit causes them to borrow from other sectors.
The net export is the sum of the government sector balance and private sector balance. In other words,